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Kim Jong-il Death Raises Regime Instability Concerns

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By Bruce Klingner Courtesy - The Heritage Foundation Dec 19, 2011 North Korea ’s official media announced today that Kim Jong-il, the country’s long-time leader, died of “physical and mental overwork.” Although Kim had several health problems, particularly after a stroke in August 2008, he had appeared vibrant in recent meetings. As such, the surprise development raises concerns about its impact on Pyongyang’s ongoing leadership transition, regime stability, and North Korean security and foreign policies.  North Korean provocative behavior or military action is unlikely in the near-term. However, Seoul and Washington will be wary that Kim Jong-un, third son of Kim Jong-il and the next leader of North Korea, may feel it necessary in the future to precipitate a crisis to prove his mettle to other senior leaders or to generate a “rally around the flag effect.” South Korea has increased the alert of its military and called an emergency meeting of its National Security Coun...